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Between 1983 and 2015, the U.S. economy experienced  ___________ recessions and the economy was in recession  ___________ of the time.  (Fill in the blanks)


A) no; 0 percent
B) 1; 2 percent
C) 3; 9 percent
D) 5; 22 percent

E) None of the above
F) All of the above

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Most economists agree that


A) fiscal policy is a more effective stabilization tool than monetary policy.
B) it is difficult to time discretionary changes in macro-policy in a manner that will promote stability.
C) monetary policy should focus on reducing unemployment, while fiscal policy should focus on the control of inflation.
D) discretionary macro-policy can easily be instituted in a manner that will promote economic stability.

E) A) and B)
F) All of the above

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The variables in the index of leading indicators are included in the index because


A) they turn down prior to a deflation and turn up prior to an inflation.
B) they generally lag behind turns in the business cycle.
C) they turn down prior to a recession and turn up before the beginning of a business expansion.
D) they provide a comprehensive measure of the current state of the economy.

E) A) and B)
F) A) and C)

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What will actual unemployment be (in relation to the natural rate) in each of the following cases? Use a graph of the modern Phillips curve in your answer. a.Decision makers underestimate inflation. b.Decision makers overestimate inflation. c.Decision makers correctly forecast inflation.

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a.Actual unemployment will fal...

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If decision makers adjust fully to demand stimulus policies, persistent expansionary macro-policy will lead to


A) inflation with no lasting reductions in unemployment.
B) a permanent reduction in unemployment.
C) lower interest rates.
D) more rapid economic growth.

E) B) and D)
F) B) and C)

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Widespread acceptance of the Keynesian theory of fiscal policy


A) caused most economists to reject the public choice view of budget deficits.
B) relaxed the political pressure to balance the budget and, hence, paved the way for the persistent budget deficits of the last five decades.
C) was based on the view that continual budget deficits would help stabilize the economy.
D) increased the pressure for a constitutional amendment mandating that the federal government balance its budget.

E) B) and D)
F) All of the above

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Which of the following is true of the national debt?


A) A budget deficit will reduce the national debt.
B) A budget deficit will increase the national debt.
C) A balanced budget will increase the national debt.
D) A budget surplus will increase the national debt.

E) C) and D)
F) A) and C)

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After an extended period of steady inflation at a constant rate,


A) people will anticipate inflation.
B) actual unemployment will approximate the natural rate of unemployment.
C) actual unemployment will be less than the natural rate of unemployment.
D) both a and b are true.

E) C) and D)
F) B) and C)

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Which of the following portions of the national debt impose a net interest burden on the federal government?


A) Treasury bonds held by government agencies.
B) Treasury bonds held by private investors.
C) Treasury bonds held by the Federal Reserve system.
D) Treasury bonds held in the Social Security Trust Fund.

E) C) and D)
F) B) and C)

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The Phillips curve illustrates the relationship between


A) change in the money supply and change in unemployment.
B) tax rates and tax revenues.
C) the equilibrium level of income and the employment rate.
D) inflation and unemployment.

E) A) and B)
F) All of the above

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Regarding the issue of economic stability, nonactivists believe that


A) consumption is highly unstable over the business cycle.
B) the highest possible level of investment must be maintained over all phases of the business cycle.
C) minor economic disturbances often feed on themselves, leading to severe swings in the business cycle.
D) the self-correcting properties of a market economy work reasonably well.

E) A) and D)
F) A) and C)

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(I)   Rational expectations adherents believe that decision makers base their future expectations on actual outcomes observed during recent periods. (II)   The adaptive expectations hypothesis states that decision makers weigh all available evidence when forming expectations about future economic events.


A) I is true; II is false.
B) I is false; II is true.
C) Both I and II are true.
D) Both I and II are false.

E) C) and D)
F) All of the above

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According to the rational expectations theory, expansionary monetary policy is fully effective only if


A) the policy is anticipated by workers and firms.
B) aggregate supply shifts to the left.
C) the economy is operating at or above its potential output level.
D) policy makers follow through on their previously announced plans.
E) the effects of the policy are unexpected.

F) A) and B)
G) A) and C)

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When it comes to macro-policy, most economists now agree that


A) policy should be constantly changing in response to business cycle conditions.
B) policy changes should exert stimulus during inflationary booms and restraint during downturns.
C) given our ability to forecast economic conditions, policy changes easily can be implemented in a timely manner.
D) policy changes are difficult to time correctly, and therefore constant shifts in policy are likely to be a source of economic instability.

E) C) and D)
F) None of the above

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Incorporation of expectations into economic decision making and the economic experience of recent decades indicate that in the long run


A) inflation relates directly to unemployment.
B) inflation is inversely related to unemployment.
C) there is no trade-off between inflation and unemployment.
D) high unemployment is a primary cause of inflation.

E) B) and D)
F) B) and C)

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An unanticipated shift to a more expansionary monetary policy that permanently increases the rate of inflation from 2 to 6 percent will


A) reduce unemployment in the short run, but unemployment will return to the natural rate in the long run.
B) reduce unemployment in the short run, but unemployment will exceed the natural rate in the long run.
C) increase unemployment in the short run, but unemployment will return to the natural rate in the long run.
D) exert an unpredictable impact on unemployment in the short run, but unemployment will return to the natural rate in the long run.

E) A) and B)
F) All of the above

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Suppose the annual rate of inflation has been 3 percent and the annual growth rate of the money supply has been 5 percent during the last few years. In the last twelve months, however, the monetary authorities have increased the money supply at a 12 percent annual rate. The expected inflation rate for the next period will be:


A) lower than 3 percent under both the adaptive and rational expectations hypotheses.
B) 3 percent under the adaptive expectations hypothesis.
C) 3 percent under the rational expectations hypothesis.
D) higher than 3 percent under both the adaptive and rational expectations hypotheses.

E) A) and B)
F) A) and C)

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(I)    In the 1960s and 1970s, most economists believed that there was a permanent trade-off between inflation and unemployment. (II)   Today, most economists believe there is no permanent trade-off between inflation and unemployment.


A) Both I and II are true.
B) Both I and II are false.
C) I is true; II is false.
D) I is false; II is true.

E) B) and D)
F) A) and B)

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The U.S. Treasury both pays and receives almost all of the interest on that portion of the national debt that is held by


A) domestic investors.
B) foreign investors.
C) government agencies and the Federal Reserve system.
D) commercial banks.

E) A) and C)
F) None of the above

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Modern Phillips curve analysis indicates that if people


A) underestimate inflation, actual unemployment will be below the natural rate.
B) overestimate inflation, actual unemployment will be below the natural rate.
C) accurately estimate inflation, actual unemployment will be less than the natural rate.
D) accurately estimate inflation, actual unemployment will be below the natural rate.

E) A) and B)
F) A) and C)

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